Module 1: Guidelines on PD, LGD & Defaulted Exposures
Topics
Reduction of parameter variability
Homogenization of PD/LGD calculation
Data quality and representativeness
Human judgment & margin of conservatism (MoC)
PD estimation (development, data, drivers, philosophy)
PD calibration (1-year DR, observed DR, LRA DR)
LGD estimation (recoveries, collaterals, costs, calibration)
LGD in-default & ELBE
Application of risk parameters
Review, documentation, impact assessment
(No exercises listed)
Module 2: Implementation of IFRS 9 in the EU
Topics
SICR & staging
Low credit risk exemption
PD as proxy for lifetime
ECL model types
Model limitations & overlays
ESG & climate risk influence
IFRS 9 PD variability
FLI incorporation (macroeconomic scenarios, non-linearity)
Staging, measurement, overlays
IFRS 9 LGD, IFRS 9 PD
(No exercises listed)
Module 3: Exploratory Analysis
Topics
Data sources, target definition
Sampling (random, stratified, rebalanced)
EDA: histograms, QQ plot, boxplot
Missing values & multivariate imputation
Outliers: winsorizing, trimming, Mahalanobis
Oversampling / SMOTE
Exercises
EDA Exploratory Analysis
Feature Engineering
Detection & treatment of Advanced Outliers
Multivariate imputation of missing values
Univariate analysis in percentiles (R)
Optimal univariate continuous-variable analysis (Excel)
Module 4: Feature Engineering
Topics
Standardization
Binning (equal interval, frequency, chi-square)
WOE coding
Variable selection
Continuous & categorical optimization
Information Value
(Exercises listed in Module 3)
Module 5: Machine Learning
Topics
K-Means
PCA & visualization
Ensemble Learning: Bagging, Random Forest, Boosting, AdaBoost, Gradient Boosting
Exercises
Segmentation using K-Means
Credit Scoring SVM
Credit Scoring Boosting
Credit Scoring Bagging
Credit Scoring Random Forest (R & Python)
Credit Scoring Gradient Boosting Trees
Module 6: Deep Learning
Topics
Feedforward NN, MLP
Activation functions
Backpropagation, gradients, Jacobians
CNNs (filters, pooling, FC layers)
CNN for credit scoring
RNN, LSTM
GANs for credit scoring
Exercises
Deep Learning Feedforward Credit Scoring
CNN for Credit Scoring
LSTM Credit Scoring
GANs Credit Scoring
Module 7: Hyperparameter Tuning
Topics
Grid, random & Bayesian search
Learning rate, optimization algorithms
Activation functions
Loss & cost functions
Hidden layers, units, epochs
Dropout, batch size
SHAP interpretation
Exercises
Tuning XGBoost, Random Forest & SVM
Tuning Deep Learning models
Module 8: Scorecard Development
Topics
Scorecard design (binary, continuous)
WOE classification
Reject inference
Cut-off optimization (ROC)
Exercises
Scorecard creation in Excel, R, Python
Module 9: Quantum Computing & Algorithms
Topics
Qubits, circuits, measurement
Quantum operations & entanglement
Deutsch algorithm
QFT
Hybrid quantum-classical algorithms
Quantum ML
Exercises
Quantum operations
Module 10: Quantum Machine Learning for Credit Scoring
Topics
QSVM
VQC
Quantum NN, QGAN
Quantum ML for PD & scoring
Exercises
Quantum SVM Credit Scoring
Quantum FFNN for PD
Quantum CNN for PD
Module 11: Tensor Networks
Topics
Entanglement
Tensor networks for ML
Applications in NN & SVM
Credit scoring using tensors
Exercises
Credit Scoring & PD with Tensor Networks
Module 12: Probabilistic Machine Learning
Topics
Bayesian models
Gaussian processes
HMM
MCMC
Bayesian NN
Exercises
Gaussian Process Regression
Bayesian Neural Networks
Module 14: Advanced Validation of AI Models
Topics
Explainability, SHAP
Global & local explanations
Model diagnosis (accuracy, robustness, fairness)
Regression & classification comparison
Exercises
Validation & Diagnosis of Advanced Scoring Models
Module 15: IRB PD – Probability of Default
Topics
PD estimation
Data requirements
PD calibration
Technical defaults
PD PIT & TTC
ML & DL PD
Margin of conservatism
Exercises
Modeling Margin of Conservatism (PD)
Module 16: Econometric & AI PD Models
Topics
Logistic, Probit, Cox, Log-Log
Panel Models
Bayesian logistic
ML survival models
Random Survival Forest
Cox-XGBoost
Deep Learning Survival
Quantum NN
Exercises
Cox Regression PD
Panel Logistic PD
Bayesian Logistic Regression
LASSO PD
Random Forest Survival
Cox-XGBoost
Deep Learning Survival
Feedforward NN
Quantum NN PD
Module 17: PD Calibration IRB
Topics
Central tendency
Bayesian calibration
Scaled calibration
Smoothing PD curves
QMM, Beta, Laplace, isotonic regression
Gaussian Process Regression
Exercises
Platt Scaling & Isotonic Regression
Gaussian Process Regression Calibration
Asymmetric Laplace Calibration
Module 18: Bayesian PD & Gaussian Processes
Topics
Bayesian PD estimation
MCMC
Credibility intervals
Gaussian process regression
Exercises
Bayesian Logistic PD (Python)
PD using MCMC (R)
Gaussian Process Regression PD
Module 19: Low-Default Portfolio PD
Topics
PD in LDP
Bayesian neutral & conservative PD
GAN synthetic data for LDP
Exercises
LDP PD – Confidence Interval
Multi-period CI PD
Neutral Bayesian PD
Conservative Bayesian PD
Synthetic Data for PD via GAN
Module 20: IFRS 9 PD Forecasting
Topics
PIT PD
TTC PD
ARIMA, VAR, VARMAX
LSTM, Bayesian LSTM
Quantum LSTM
Exercises
PD Forecasting with VARMAX
PD Forecasting with Quantum LSTM
Module 21: Lifetime PD
Topics
Vintage & EMV models
Regression & survival models
Markov models
ML & DL
Exercises
Multinomial Regression – Lifetime PD
Multi-State Markov – Lifetime PD
Matrix ASRF – Lifetime PD
Quantum SVM – Lifetime PD
SVM – Lifetime PD
Deep Learning Lifetime PD
Quantum Deep Learning Lifetime PD
Module 22: IRB LGD (Retail)
(No exercises)
Module 23: Econometric & ML Models for LGD
Exercises
Econometric LGD Models
ML & Deep Learning LGD
Model Comparison Tests
Module 24: LGD IFRS 9
Exercises
RF LGD IFRS 9
Beta Regression + NN LGD IFRS 9
XGBoost LGD IFRS 9
SVM LGD IFRS 9
Quantum SVM LGD IFRS 9
Traditional NN LGD
Bayesian NN LGD
Module 25: IRB EAD & CCF
Exercises
NN CCF Model
SVR CCF (Python)
NN + Beta Regression (R)
Quantum SVM CCF
Module 26: IFRS 9 EAD – Contractual Options
Exercises
Prepayment Model (RF, R & Excel)
Module 27: Lifetime EAD for Credit Lines
Exercises
NN Model for Lines of Credit
Lifetime EAD Model
Module 28: PD Backtesting
Exercises
PD Backtesting in Excel
Module 29: LGD Backtesting
Exercises
LGD Model Performance Comparison
Module 30: EAD Backtesting
Exercises
EAD Model Performance Comparison
Module 31: Deep Learning for Macroeconomic Dynamics
Exercises
Neural Networks for Bellman Equation
Module 32: Deep Learning for Macroeconomic Projections
Exercises
Charge-off Model with VAR & VEC
PD Forecasting with Bayesian LSTM
Pandemic Forecasting with RNN LSTM
PD Forecasting with Quantum NN
Module 33: Stress Testing PD & LGD
Exercises
Credit Portfolio View – PD Stress Test
Bayesian LSTM PD Stress Test
VQR Quantum Regression PD Stress Test
MARS Stress Test PD
LASSO Stress Test
Module 34: Corporate Portfolio Stress Testing
Exercises
Corporate PD Stress Test (ASRF + Transition Matrix)
Module 35: ECL IFRS 9 Stress Testing
Exercises
Internal ECL Stress Test (R & Excel)
Module 36: Quantum Stress Testing
Exercises
DGSE Model with Deep Learning
Quantum vs Classical Monte Carlo
Module 37: Economic Capital Models
Exercises
Portfolio EL/UL/Correlation/EC
CreditRisk+ in SAS
CreditMetrics in Excel & R
Single-Factor EC Model
Module 38: Quantum EC Models
Exercises
Quantum EL, VaR & ES
Module 39: Climate Risk in Credit Risk
Exercises
PD & DD for Transition Risk
PD & DD for Physical Risk