Lunes Mar 10 -Viernes Mar 2
Fecha
Lunes Mar 10 -Viernes Mar 2
Fecha

Gestión Avanzada del Riesgo de Liquidez, ILAAP & Stress Testing
Objetivo del curso
El objetivo de este programa es proporcionar una visión integral, práctica y actualizada de la gestión del riesgo de liquidez en entidades financieras, combinando la perspectiva regulatoria con la gestión interna de funding, cash flows, liquidez estructural, liquidez intradía, collateral, stress testing y planes de contingencia.
El curso aborda el riesgo de liquidez desde todo su ciclo de gestión:
Identificación del riesgo → Medición → LCR / NSFR → Funding → Depósitos → Cash Flows → Collateral → Intraday Liquidity → ILAAP → Stress Testing → Reverse Stress Testing → Early Warning → Contingency Funding Plan → Management Actions
El programa tiene un enfoque claramente aplicado y busca que los participantes comprendan no solo cómo cumplir con los requerimientos regulatorios, sino cómo utilizar las métricas de liquidez como herramientas reales para la toma de decisiones en Tesorería, Risk y ALCO.
A lo largo del curso se analizarán, entre otros, los siguientes aspectos:
-
LCR y NSFR
-
HQLA y gestión del liquidity buffer
-
Structural funding risk
-
Funding plans
-
Deposit behaviour
-
Stable y less-stable funding
-
Cash-flow forecasting
-
Collateral y asset encumbrance
-
Intraday liquidity
-
ILAAP
-
Liquidity Risk Appetite
-
Early-warning indicators
-
Liquidity Stress Testing
-
Reverse Stress Testing
-
Survival Horizon
-
Contingency Funding Plans
-
Liquidity recovery actions
El programa incorpora además los nuevos retos que afectan actualmente al riesgo de liquidez:
-
Geopolitical Risk
-
Digital bank runs
-
Social-media-driven confidence shocks
-
Funding market closure
-
Margin calls
-
Collateral volatility
-
Cross-border funding
-
Foreign-currency liquidity
-
Competition for deposits
-
Rapid repricing of funding
-
New supervisory expectations
También se introduce una capa moderna de Artificial Intelligence y advanced analytics para mejorar la gestión del riesgo de liquidez.
Los participantes analizarán cómo aplicar AI a:
-
Deposit run-off forecasting
-
Liquidity cash-flow forecasting
-
Early-warning systems
-
Predictive limit breaches
-
Scenario generation
-
Reverse stress testing
-
Anomaly detection
-
Funding analytics
-
Liquidity vulnerability identification
El objetivo no es reemplazar la experiencia de Treasury o Risk mediante AI, sino utilizarla como herramienta de apoyo para mejorar:
Forecasting → Scenario Analysis → Vulnerability Detection → Decision Support
manteniendo siempre:
Human Oversight + Governance + Validation + Auditability
Al finalizar el programa, los participantes deberán ser capaces de interpretar la posición de liquidez de una entidad de forma integrada y evaluar cómo shocks de depósitos, funding, collateral, mercado o confianza pueden transmitirse hacia:
Liquidity Buffer → LCR → NSFR → Survival Horizon → Funding Gap → Management Actions.
¿A quién va dirigido?
El programa está dirigido a profesionales involucrados en la gestión, medición, supervisión y control del riesgo de liquidez en bancos y entidades financieras.
Especialmente recomendado para:
-
Chief Risk Officers
-
Treasurers
-
Heads of Treasury
-
Liquidity Risk Managers
-
ALCO Members
-
Funding Managers
-
Balance Sheet Risk Professionals
-
Liquidity Risk Analysts
-
ILAAP Teams
-
Risk Appetite Teams
-
Stress Testing Teams
-
Recovery Planning Teams
-
Contingency Funding Plan Teams
-
Market & Liquidity Risk Teams
-
Collateral Management Professionals
-
Intraday Liquidity Teams
-
Asset-Liability Risk Professionals with liquidity responsibilities
-
Financial Risk Management Teams
-
Risk Analytics Teams
-
Model Validation Teams
-
Internal Audit
-
Regulatory Reporting Teams
-
Banking Supervisors and Regulators
-
Risk Consultants
-
Data Science and AI Teams working on liquidity analytics
También resulta especialmente útil para profesionales de Tesorería y Risk que quieran pasar de una visión centrada únicamente en LCR / NSFR compliance a una gestión más integrada de:
funding + deposits + cash flows + collateral + stress testing + contingency actions
Perfil recomendado
No es necesario ser especialista en Artificial Intelligence.
Se recomienda conocimiento previo de alguna de las siguientes áreas:
-
Banking
-
Treasury
-
Liquidity Risk
-
Financial Risk Management
-
Regulation
-
ILAAP
-
Funding
-
Stress Testing
-
Balance Sheet Risk
El programa parte de los fundamentos regulatorios y de gestión y avanza progresivamente hacia metodologías más sofisticadas de forecasting, stress testing y AI.


AGENDA
Gestión Avanzada del Riesgo de Liquidez,
ILAAP & Stress Testing
BLOQUE 1: Regulación, Funding, Liquidity Stress, Geopolitical Risk & AI
Módulo 1 — Fundamentos de la Gestión Moderna del Riesgo de Liquidez
De la métrica regulatoria a la gestión interna
Temas:
-
Naturaleza del riesgo de liquidez
-
Funding liquidity vs market liquidity
-
Structural liquidity
-
Intraday liquidity
-
Liquidity transformation
-
Liquidity risk drivers
-
Liquidity governance
-
Roles de Treasury, Risk y ALCO
-
Liquidity Risk Appetite
-
Límites y KRIs
-
Escalation framework
-
Liquidity dashboard
RiskLab 1
Mapa integral del riesgo de liquidez del banco
Módulo 2 — LCR, HQLA & Liquidity Buffer Management
Más allá del cumplimiento del 100%
Temas:
-
Estructura del LCR
-
HQLA Level 1 / 2A / 2B
-
Haircuts
-
Inflows y outflows
-
Deposit run-off
-
Wholesale funding outflows
-
Drawdown of committed facilities
-
Composition of the liquidity buffer
-
Monetisation of HQLA
-
Central bank reserves
-
Sovereign securities
-
LCR under stress
-
Management buffers above regulatory minimums
-
Currency-specific LCR considerations
La EBA reportó un LCR agregado de alrededor del 160% a cierre de 2025, pero espera cierta reducción en 2026 y subraya que los bancos deben mantener buffers creíbles frente a shocks de funding. EBA
RiskLab 2
LCR Dynamic Stress Engine
Módulo 3 — NSFR & Structural Funding Risk
Gestión de la estabilidad estructural del funding
Temas:
-
Available Stable Funding
-
Required Stable Funding
-
Stable deposits
-
Wholesale funding
-
Long-term liabilities
-
Structural funding gaps
-
Balance-sheet maturity transformation
-
Funding tenor
-
Funding concentration
-
NSFR under growth scenarios
-
Business-model implications
-
Structural liquidity limits
RiskLab 3
NSFR & Structural Funding Simulator
Módulo 4 — Deposit Risk & Behavioural Liquidity Modelling
El depósito como principal fuente de funding
Temas:
-
Retail deposits
-
Corporate deposits
-
Operational deposits
-
Stable vs less-stable deposits
-
Deposit concentration
-
Deposit beta
-
Deposit churn
-
Deposit decay
-
Run-off modelling
-
Early withdrawals
-
Rate sensitivity
-
Digital banking behaviour
-
Instant transfers
-
Behaviour during confidence shocks
-
Survival models
-
Machine Learning for deposit behaviour
RiskLab 4
AI Deposit Run-Off & Survival Model
Comparar:
Logistic Regression → Survival Analysis → Random Forest → XGBoost
Módulo 5 — Funding Strategy & Funding Plan Management
Cómo construir un funding plan creíble
Temas:
-
Retail funding
-
Wholesale funding
-
Covered bonds
-
Senior unsecured
-
Secured funding
-
Central bank funding
-
Funding diversification
-
Concentration risk
-
Funding maturity ladder
-
Funding cost
-
Funding capacity
-
Market access
-
Investor appetite
-
Funding plan credibility
-
Funding plan under stress
-
Funding needs under balance-sheet growth
La EBA advierte que los bancos proyectan crecimiento del balance, pero que ese crecimiento puede tensionarse si se amplían spreads, cae la demanda de inversores o aumenta la competencia por depósitos. EBA
RiskLab 5
Funding Plan Under Stress
Módulo 6 — Liquidity Cash-Flow Forecasting
De gap estático a forecasting dinámico
Temas:
-
Contractual cash flows
-
Behavioural cash flows
-
Daily liquidity forecasting
-
7-day / 30-day / 90-day horizons
-
Deposit inflows
-
Deposit outflows
-
Loan repayments
-
Drawdowns
-
Collateral flows
-
Margin calls
-
Security maturities
-
Forecast uncertainty
-
Forecast errors
-
Scenario-dependent cash flows
-
Probabilistic forecasting
RiskLab 6
AI Cash-Flow Forecasting Engine
Comparar:
ARIMA → XGBoost → LSTM → Temporal Fusion Transformer
Módulo 7 — Collateral, Encumbrance & Liquidity Capacity
Cuánto liquidity buffer es realmente utilizable
Temas:
-
Asset encumbrance
-
Encumbered vs unencumbered assets
-
Central bank eligible collateral
-
Collateral pools
-
Collateral haircuts
-
Margin calls
-
Derivatives collateral
-
Repo capacity
-
Securities financing
-
Counterbalancing capacity
-
Collateral mobility
-
Collateral optimisation
-
Liquidity buffer usability
-
Stress collateral depletion
La EBA está dando especial importancia a la disponibilidad de activos utilizables como collateral, tanto para funding como para cubrir margin calls en episodios de volatilidad. EBA
RiskLab 7
Collateral & Counterbalancing Capacity Engine
Módulo 8 — Intraday Liquidity & Payment Risk
Gestión de la liquidez en tiempo real
Temas:
-
Intraday liquidity
-
Payment systems
-
Settlement flows
-
Correspondent banking
-
Central bank accounts
-
Payment queues
-
Peak liquidity needs
-
Timing mismatch
-
Liquidity recycling
-
Payment concentration
-
Intraday collateral
-
Settlement failures
-
Liquidity gridlock
-
Operational disruption
-
Intraday stress indicators
RiskLab 8
Intraday Liquidity Simulator
Módulo 9 — ILAAP: Internal Liquidity Adequacy Assessment Process
De documento regulatorio a herramienta de gestión
Temas:
-
ILAAP governance
-
Internal liquidity adequacy
-
Risk identification
-
Liquidity risk inventory
-
Internal metrics
-
Liquidity buffers
-
Funding strategy
-
Stress testing
-
Survival horizon
-
Risk Appetite
-
Management actions
-
Integration with business planning
-
Supervisory assessment
-
Documentation
-
Use test
RiskLab 9
ILAAP Internal Assessment Dashboard
Módulo 10 — Liquidity Risk Appetite, Limits & Early-Warning Indicators
Cómo controlar el riesgo antes del breach
Temas:
-
Risk Appetite Statement
-
LCR limits
-
NSFR limits
-
Survival horizon limits
-
Funding concentration limits
-
Deposit concentration
-
Collateral utilisation
-
Intraday limits
-
Early-warning indicators
-
Limit utilisation
-
Trigger levels
-
Escalation
-
Governance
-
Predictive limit breaches
-
Management reporting
RiskLab 10
Liquidity Early-Warning Dashboard
BLOQUE II — Stress Testing
Módulo 11 — Liquidity Stress Testing Framework
Idiosyncratic, market-wide and combined stress
Temas:
-
Regulatory stress testing
-
Internal stress testing
-
Idiosyncratic scenarios
-
Market-wide scenarios
-
Combined stress
-
Deposit runs
-
Wholesale funding closure
-
Haircut escalation
-
Collateral calls
-
Drawdowns
-
Asset fire sales
-
Liquidity buffer depletion
-
Multi-horizon stress testing
-
Dynamic balance sheet
-
Management actions
RiskLab 11
Integrated Liquidity Stress Test
Módulo 12 — Survival Horizon & Liquidity Buffer Depletion
Cuánto tiempo puede sobrevivir el banco
Temas:
-
Survival horizon
-
Net liquidity position
-
Time-to-breach
-
Buffer consumption
-
Funding gap
-
Stress waterfall
-
Counterbalancing capacity
-
Liquidity exhaustion
-
Minimum survival horizon
-
Contingency thresholds
-
Dynamic management actions
RiskLab 12
Survival Horizon Engine
Módulo 13 — Reverse Liquidity Stress Testing
Qué combinación de shocks rompe la liquidez
Temas:
-
Reverse stress testing
-
LCR breach
-
Survival horizon breach
-
Funding market closure
-
Deposit run thresholds
-
Collateral depletion
-
Margin call shocks
-
Combined liquidity shock
-
Scenario search
-
Bayesian optimisation
-
Genetic algorithms
-
Vulnerability mapping
RiskLab 13
AI Reverse Liquidity Stress Test
Objetivo:
LCR < 100%
o
Survival Horizon < 30 days
y buscar la combinación de shocks que provoca el breach.
BLOQUE III — GEOPOLITICAL & EMERGING LIQUIDITY RISK
Módulo 14 — Geopolitical Risk & Liquidity Transmission Channels
Del evento geopolítico al funding del banco
Este módulo sí lo haría mucho más actual.
Temas:
-
Geopolitical fragmentation
-
Middle East conflict
-
Sanctions
-
Trade restrictions
-
Energy shocks
-
Commodity shocks
-
Shipping disruption
-
Supply-chain disruption
-
Sovereign spread widening
-
FX volatility
-
Market repricing
-
Deposit confidence
-
Investor sentiment
-
Wholesale funding access
-
Collateral volatility
-
Margin calls
-
Cross-border funding
-
Foreign currency liquidity
La EBA señala que el riesgo geopolítico ya se está incorporando a ILAAP, stress testing y reverse stress testing, y que puede afectar funding, collateral, market access y liquidity through second-round effects. EBA
RiskLab 14
Geopolitical Liquidity Transmission Engine
Geopolitical Shock → Market Volatility → Funding Spread → Deposit Outflow → Collateral Call → Liquidity Gap
Módulo 15 — EBA 2026: Funding & Liquidity Risk in a Geopolitical Environment
Este módulo lo incluiría específicamente porque da actualidad institucional.
Temas:
-
EBA Risk Assessment 2026
-
Funding conditions
-
Deposit competition
-
Funding-plan risk
-
LCR and NSFR outlook
-
Asset encumbrance
-
HQLA composition
-
Stable funding competition
-
Wholesale market access
-
Abrupt repricing risk
-
Foreign-currency liquidity
-
Geopolitical spillovers
-
Energy-price transmission
-
Investor sentiment
-
Margin calls
-
Supervisory implications
La EBA destaca que los bancos europeos siguen con posiciones robustas, pero que la combinación de geopolítica, volatilidad y competencia por stable funding exige vigilancia adicional. EBA
RiskLab 15
EBA-Style Funding & Liquidity Vulnerability Dashboard
Módulo 16 — Digital Bank Runs, Social Media & Confidence Risk
La nueva velocidad del riesgo de liquidez
Temas:
-
Digital bank runs
-
Mobile banking
-
Instant withdrawals
-
Social media
-
Rumour propagation
-
Confidence shocks
-
Deposit concentration
-
Uninsured / large deposits
-
Corporate treasury withdrawals
-
Behavioural contagion
-
Run acceleration
-
Early-warning signals
-
Sentiment analytics
-
Real-time liquidity monitoring
RiskLab 16
Digital Deposit Run Simulator
BLOQUE IV — AI & ADVANCED LIQUIDITY ANALYTICS
Módulo 17 — AI Liquidity Forecasting
Predicting liquidity before it becomes critical
Temas:
-
Machine Learning
-
XGBoost
-
Random Forest
-
LSTM
-
Temporal Fusion Transformer
-
Probabilistic models
-
Forecast intervals
-
Deposit forecasting
-
Payment forecasting
-
Collateral forecasting
-
Liquidity-gap prediction
-
Explainability
-
Model monitoring
RiskLab 17
AI Liquidity Forecasting Engine
Módulo 18 — AI Scenario Generation for Liquidity Risk
De cinco escenarios manuales a cientos de escenarios relevantes
Temas:
-
Historical scenarios
-
Hypothetical scenarios
-
Conditional stress
-
Geopolitical scenarios
-
Market-confidence scenarios
-
Deposit-run scenarios
-
Scenario clustering
-
Generative models
-
Bayesian scenario generation
-
Scenario severity
-
Scenario plausibility
-
Liquidity impact ranking
RiskLab 18
AI Liquidity Scenario Generator
Módulo 19 — Predictive Early Warning & Liquidity Risk Signals
Anticipando el deterioro antes de que aparezca en el ratio
Temas:
-
Predictive KRIs
-
Funding spread signals
-
Deposit-flow anomalies
-
Collateral utilisation
-
LCR deterioration
-
Liquidity buffer erosion
-
Anomaly detection
-
Change-point detection
-
Predictive breaches
-
SHAP
-
Explainable warning systems
RiskLab 19
AI Early-Warning Liquidity Model
BLOQUE V — CONTINGENCY, RECOVERY & MANAGEMENT
Módulo 20 — Contingency Funding Plan 2.0
Del manual estático al playbook ejecutable
Temas:
-
CFP governance
-
Escalation framework
-
Trigger thresholds
-
Contingency liquidity sources
-
Asset monetisation
-
Central bank facilities
-
Repo capacity
-
Deposit repricing
-
Secured funding
-
Balance-sheet contraction
-
Communication strategy
-
Operational readiness
-
Dry runs
-
Playbooks
RiskLab 20
Contingency Funding Action Map
Módulo 21 — Liquidity Recovery Actions & Management Response
Qué puede hacer realmente el banco durante una crisis
Temas:
-
Asset sales
-
Repo
-
Central bank funding
-
Deposit repricing
-
Wholesale issuance
-
Business contraction
-
Credit line reduction
-
Collateral mobilisation
-
Funding diversification
-
Liquidity buffer usage
-
Cost of actions
-
Time-to-execute
-
Capacity constraints
-
Governance approval
RiskLab 21
Management Action Optimisation
Módulo 22 — Integrated Liquidity Risk Control Room
From Monitoring to Decision Support
Módulo final integrador.
Temas:
-
LCR
-
NSFR
-
Cash-flow forecasting
-
Deposit behaviour
-
Intraday liquidity
-
Collateral
-
Funding plan
-
Stress testing
-
Reverse stress
-
Early warning
-
CFP
-
Management actions
-
Explainable AI
-
Human-in-the-loop
-
Governance
-
Audit trail
RiskLab 22 — AI-Assisted Liquidity Risk Control Room
Arquitectura:
DEPOSIT BEHAVIOUR
↓
CASH-FLOW FORECAST
↓
LCR / NSFR
↓
COLLATERAL
↓
INTRADAY LIQUIDITY
↓
STRESS TEST
↓
REVERSE STRESS
↓
CFP
↓
MANAGEMENT ACTIONS
↓
